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Strategic Journal of Business & Change Management
The intermediation provided by banks depends on the efficiency of the bank. Commercial banks in South Sudan have continued to experience poor performance. This has been a significant source of concern for the South Sudan's financial sector over the years. Studies on financial performance and macroeconomic factors have largely not been based on South Sudan Banks. The general objective of the study was to establish the effect of selected macro-economic variables on financial performance of commercial banks in South Sudan. The study adopted explanatory research design. A census of 29 commercial banks listed in South Sudan that were in operation from 2012 to 2020 was targeted. The audited financial statements of the listed commercial banks served as the source of secondary panel data. Data collection was by use of a document review guide. Data analysis for the study was by use of regression model and correlation. The study was based on Vector autoregressive (VAR) model to assess relationship between macro-economic variables and financial performance of commercial banks. From the findings of the study, it was established that interest rate has no significant effect on financial performance of commercial banks in South Sudan; Gross Domestic Product has no significant effect on financial performance of commercial banks in South Sudan; inflation rate has no significant effect on financial performance of commercial banks in South Sudan and exchange rate has no significant effect on financial performance of commercial banks in South Sudan. Macroeconomic variables such as interest rate Gross domestic product, inflation rate and exchange rate. The study suggested that commercial banks' management committees continuously monitor inflation rates in order for them to adjust their loan products and services in line with the inflation rate; commercial banks should design dynamic interest rate policies that would lead to growth by attracting many customers; and commercial banks should ensure that the business environment is favorable in order to encourage investment in them since they have the ability to offer a variety of financial services.
The International Journal of Business & Management, 2021
The banking institutions in South Sudan have been experiencing challenges due to various factors affecting their performances. There has been little research on the causes of bank profitability in South Sudan, and since different studies elsewhere demonstrate disparities in the impact of macroeconomic variables on bank performance, this study has been taken.The primary purpose of this research was to determine the effect of Macroeconomic Variables on the financial performance of commercial banks in South Sudan: Specifically, the study aimed: toassess the effect of exchange rate on the financial performance ofcommercial banks in South Sudan; to examine the influence of interest rate on the financial performance of commercial banks in South Sudan; to examine the effect of inflation rate on the financial performance of the commercial bank in South Sudan. The study was anchored onthe International Fisher Effect (IFE) theory. The target population for this study were the 30 commercialbanks in South Sudan. A purposive sampling method was used to select 28 out of the 30 commercial banks for the study. The researcher considereda longitudinal cohort research design. A panel of data for the period of 2014 to 2020 collected from the Central Bank of South Sudan, the world bank data bank, and the commercial bank's websites were used in the study. Face validity was used for the measurement of the validity of the data. To show the reliability of the data, the researcher used data source triangulation to incorporate various sources of the data in an investigation. Data analysis included descriptive statistics and multiple regression analysis. The Pooled OLS with Panel Correlated Standard Error results suggested that of the macroeconomic factors analyzed, the exchange rates had no significant effect on the financial performance of commercial banks at a 5% level of confidence (ߚ =-1.862119, p-value = 0.212 > 0.05). The interest rate had a significantly positive influence on commercial banks performance in South Sudan at a 5% confidence level(β = 41.31904, p-value = 0.000 < 0.05). The inflation rate had no significant effect on the financial performance of commercial banks in South Sudan at a 5% level of confidence (β = 2.256533, p-value = 0.116 > 0.05). The following recommendations were made in the context of the results and conclusions.Commercial banks should pay special attention to interest rate changes, which have a significant impact on the financial success of South Sudanese commercial banks.The government should implement regulations and an exchange rate regime that would allow banks to profit from the exchange rate sector. The inflation rate should be monitored to ensure that it is always within control.
IJARKE Business & Management Journal, 2018
Understanding the factors that influence the performance of commercial banks is critical not only to the management of these commercial banks but also to other stakeholders and interest groups such as the country‘s Central Bank, the government as a whole, the banker‘s association as well as other financial authorities in the country. Studies carried out to evaluate the determinants of the financial performance of commercial banks have revealed various factors such as the internal bank specific factors, industry specific factors and external macro-economic factors. It is however important to note that countries differ in terms of the macro-economic conditions, the financial systems as well as the operating environment of these banks. This shows that factors that influence performance in one country may not be the same as those in another country. The general objective of the study was to examine the factors affecting financial performance of commercial banks in Kenya. The specific objectives of the study were to examine the effect of inflation rate on financial performance of commercial banks in Kenya; to examine the effect of credit risk on financial performance of commercial banks in Kenya; to determine the effect of interest rate on financial performance of commercial banks in Kenya and to evaluate the effect of technology on financial performance of commercial banks in Kenya. To strengthen the conception framework, the study used pure expectation theory, liquidity preference theory, market power theory, efficiency theory, technology acceptance model, diffusion of innovation theory and portfolio theory. The target population was 88 and the sample size was 72. Data analysis was performed on a computer using Statistical Package for Social Science (SPSS Version 23) for Windows. Analysis was done using frequency counts, percentages, means and standard deviation, regression, correlation and the information generated is presented in form of graphs, charts and tables. From the study findings established that majority of respondents have a working experience of between 4-6 years holding bachelor‘s degree holding chief finance officer. The study revealed that there is a positive correlation between the independent variables and the dependent variable. The coefficient of determination was 47.2%. To establish the relationship between the independent variables and the dependent variable the study conducted Karl Pearson‘s coefficient of correlation (r) was used in trying to show the relationship between the study variables and their findings. According to the findings, it was clear that there was a positive correlation between inflation rates, credit risk, interest rates and technology shown by a correlation value of 0.113, 0.367, 0.121 and 0.471 respectively. This indicates that independent variable and dependent variable move in the same direction, that is, as one increase the other one also increases. From the finding R2 has a value of 0.472 meaning that the 47.2 % of the dependent variable can be explained or attributed to combination of the four independent factors investigated in this study. A further 52.8 % of financial performance is attributed to other factors not investigated here. That stability in inflation rates helps in regulating both foreign exchange rates and interest rates. When the inflation rate is high, borrowers most often default causing loss of revenue to the commercial banks. That secured loans through collateral are less likely to default as compared to unsecured loans. Thus this helps the commercial banks to conserve its capital thereby reducing losses. The study recommended that commercial banks continue to use technology to attract more clients to use same to earn commercial banks revenue; Diversify revenue streams and not just depends on interest income for commercial banks to remain profitability.
International Journal of Current Research, 2020
Background: Banking sector plays an important role in stimulating the economy of the country especially where the capital market of that country is infant. According to Rousseau and Sylla (2001), security markets with good performance encourage the country’s economic growth. Due to that fact, commercial banks have to evaluate whether their performance is stable or it is just for the short run. In this case, both external and internal factors are to be scrutinized due to their effect on the banks’ performance. However, few studies have done on the impact of external forces affecting the banks’ performance. With this regard, banks have to examine the factors surrounding the business environment mainly the external forces we now call macroeconomic variables such as the inflation rates, exchange rate, government debts, interest rates and the rate of growth of GDP. Our study aims on assessing the impact of macroeconomic variables proxied by Exchange rate, Inflation rate, Interest Rate, money supply, government debts, and GDP growth rate; on performance of Tanzanian banking sector from 2011 to 2019. Materials and Methods: The study uses secondary data collected from central bank of Tanzania, Tanzania bureau of Statistics, and World Bank databases. In data analysis, the study employs correlation and multiple regression analysis using Pooled Ordinary Least Square Regression Model. Results: The results show that, GDP growth rate has an insignificant positive relationship with Banks performance, while the Interest Rate has a negative and insignificant impact on banks performance. The Inflation rate has a negative and insignificant effect on bank performance at 10% level of significance. Furthermore, the results indicate that the exchange rate has an insignificant negative effect on bank performance at 10% level of significance. Conclusion: Economic regulators and policy makers have to concentrate on adjustment of external factors like inflation, exchange rates, interest rates, government debts, and GDP which found to have impacts on banks’ performance, while improving the capital market operations in the country.
Research Journal of Finance and Accounting
Volatility in lending interest rates represents one of the key forms of financial risk faced by commercial banks in Kenya. The aim of this research project was to identify and assess the effect that the determinants of lending interest rate volatility have on the profit levels realized by commercial banks in Kenya for the period 2010-2015. This study used profitability measured by Net Interest Margin as the dependent variable, while the independent variables were Borrowers' Default Rate, Central Bank of Kenya Liquidity Ratio, Central Bank Kenya Cash Reserve Ratio, Inflation Rate and Maturity Mismatch. The study population was the total 42 commercial banks that were in operation as at the end of 2015, with a sample size of 20 banks. The study used secondary data collected from individual commercial banks, among them audited financial statements, published bank supervision reports by Central Bank of Kenya, data on inflation was obtained from Kenya National Bureau of Statistics. Data analysis involved both descriptive and inferential statistics; with descriptive statistics involving the use of mean, standard deviation, minimum and maximum values of data collected, while the inferential statistics comprising the use of regression coefficients to test the hypotheses ywith values generated using the Statistical Package for Social Sciences software. The findings of the study revealed that Borrower's Default Rate, Inflation Rate and Maturity Mismatch Risk would impact negatively on the profitability of banks, whereas Cash Reserve Ratio and Liquidity Ratio would impact positively on the profitability of commercial banks in Kenya. The study therefore concluded that commercial banks should work in tandem with Central Bank of Kenya in order to constantly monitor the Cash Reserve Ratio and Liquidity levels to avoid cases of instability; the Inflation Rate should be watched as well in order to know and study the borrowing culture of the various bank clientele, and that both Maturity Mismatch and Borrowers Default Rate levels should be contained to avoid growth in Non-Performing Loans and to keep the banks' loan book open and in constant flow.
Purpose-The purpose of this paper is to investigate the effect of bank specific factors on interest rate in banking financial institutions (BFIs) of Uganda. Design/methodology/approach-To analyze the effect, an OLS random effects regression estimate on a data set of 24 banks from 2008 to 2016 from Bank of Uganda Depository Corporation survey was carried out. Studied bank specific factors including liquidity, operational efficiency, credit risk, capitalization and lending ratio are considered. Findings-The results indicate that liquidity, operational efficiency, capitalization and lending out ratio affect the interest rate while credit risk does not. Research limitations/implications-The study has confirmed that bank specific factors influence interest rate and other factors such as industry-level and indirect macroeconomic indicators need to be explored. The differences in categories of banks on interest rate would be of importance. Finally, this study concentrated on banks in Uganda, future study would focus on the comparison of Ugandan banks with those of other countries in the East African Region. Practical implications-Bank managers should invest in up-to-date technology to reduce operational costs and improve efficiency. Managers of bank should take interest on equity mobilization, because it constitutes a cheaper source of capital to finance asset used in operations and long-term needs of borrowers financing. Government should consider a legislation that provides incentives toward savings and reduction in tax for bank inputs. Originality/value-This is the first study that investigates the effect of bank specific factors on interest rate in Uganda's BFIs.
Pak Publishing Group
Abstract - This paper investigates the macroeconomics factors that stimulate banks’ profitability. A standard regression model is used to identify macroeconomics determinants that significantly contribute to profitability, expressed through return on assets (ROA), of commercial banks in Malaysia. The determinant factors under consideration are real gross domestic product growth, inflation (expressed through consumer price index), and real interest rates. The paper incorporates seven banks, namely, CIMB, Public Bank, Maybank, Affin Bank, RHB Bank, Alliance Bank and Hong Leong Bank for the period 1995 to 2011. In order to present research in most accurate way, the paper looked into the relationship between profitability of all banks (expressed through mean of ROAs), as well as every single individual bank, with mentioned macroeconomic determinants. Model demonstrated overall significance for mean of all banks, and three individual banks, namely, Maybank, Public Bank and Hong Leong Bank. Findings show that for mean of all banks, as well as Maybank, Public Bank and Hong Leong Bank, real GDP is significant and have positive relationship with confidence level of 1% and 5%. This paper illustrated that in Malaysian case, inflation (CPI) is not significant for mean of all banks and Maybank. On the contrary, for Public Bank and Hong Leong Bank inflation (CPI) is significant, with negative relationship. Lastly, the outcomes of this paper exemplified that in Malaysia real interest rate has no relation with banks’ profitability. From the empirical estimation, it is suggested that for the banks’ profitability the growth of gross domestic product must be in place in order to stimulate lending and borrowing activities. In addition, it is proposed that for the banking sector in order to preserve on profitability, the anticipation of inflation must be in place to shelter revenue and reduce cost of the banks.
OLVA ACADEMY, 2022
This study sought to examine the impact of macroeconomic variables on performance of banks (ROA): A Case of Commercial Banks in Tanzania. Findings of this study unveiled that economic growth has significant relationship with commercial banks performance. Results of this study indicated that exchange rate has insignificant relationship with commercial banks performance. Findings of this study revealed that interest rate has insignificant relationship with commercial banks performance. Also, results of this study indicated that, money supply has insignificant relationship with commercial banks performance. Future studies should be conducted into challenges facing the commercial banks. This will explain help to reveal how best the challenges can be overcome hence promoting efficient implementation, monitoring and evaluation of commercial banks. Moreover, further research could be carried out on other commercial banks in the East African region to establish the impact of macroeconomic variables on performance of banks.
Indian-Pacific Journal of Accounting and Finance, 2021
The banking sector is the most vital partner of development for countries' economies. It has a remarkable contribution to the country's Gross Domestic Product. This study investigates the relationship between the market interest rate and commercial banks' financial performance. As Bangladesh's banking industry is growing, it is vital to maintain a more robust profitability level for its financial stability and soundness. Banks have some determinants that have a significant impact on their performance. The convenience sampling method is used to select the targeted sample. The study includes the time series data of eight years of fifteen commercial banks listed on the Dhaka Stock Exchange in Bangladesh. Multiple variable linear regression and correlation analysis are performed to examine the relationship of market interest rate with banks' profitability with statistical software, IBM SPSS version 25, and Microsoft excel. The study explored that the market interest ...
International Journal of Economics and Financial Issues
A significant number of banks folded up during the Ghanaian banking financial crisis of 2017 to 2018 causing significant social costs as well as impeding economic growth. We take a step backward to present the significant drivers of the profitability of banks in Ghana. Obtaining panel data from the banks’ websites, the Ghana Statistical Service (GSS), and the Ghana Stock Exchange (GSE), the regression analysis was used to assess the drivers of profitability of banks in Ghana. The findings show that the bank-specific variables had no combined effect on profitability. Hence, the study concludes that the bank-specific variables do not have a significant influence on the performance of the Ghanaian listed banks. On the other hand, some of the external factors were observed to have a significant influence on profitability. The findings further showed that the drivers of profitability of the Ghanaian banks were, inflation, capital adequacy, and monetary policy. Since these are all externa...
International journal of multidisciplinary and current research, 2020
Banking sector remains an essential portion of any economy and it is among the main drivers. It is one of the sectors that assists to achieve Kenya`s Vision 2030. Control measures of interest rates in Kenya due to accommodative economic plan with different administration has remained the basis of concern for the banking sector for a long period. A number of research have been performed in regard to the influence of market interest rate control on the income of registered banks within Kenya. However, only few authors have supported exploration on the topic of market terms of interest rates influence viability of listed money-making banks in developing economies particularly in Kenya. It was based on this contextual that this research was carried out. The research intended to scrutinize the influence of market interest rates on viability of listed money-making banks within Kenya. The four particular objectives were; to explore influence of real level of interest on viability of registered commercial banks at NSE in Kenya; to explore the influence of nominal interest rate on profitability of listed money-making banks within Kenya; to find out the influence of interbank level of interest on viability of listed profitmaking banks within Kenya and evaluate the controlling influence of bank size on correlation amid market interest rate and viability of listed commercial banks within Kenya. Longitudinal research design was embraced in this panel data. The scholar targeted eleven listed money-making banks in Kenya. Only listed banks were chosen for this research from 2003 to 2017. Eventually, 165 bank year data was involved in the sample. Data validity and reliability was undertaken to test for accuracy and consistency of the research instruments by involving professionals in finance. Document analysis was used to collect secondary data that related to market interest rate and profitability. Autoregressive distributed lag (ARDL) models were used and outcomes were within reach as depicted on tables and diagrams. The hypotheses testing for real interest rate, nominal interest rate, interbank rate and bank size was below 5% and significant. On the findings real interest rate, interbank rate, nominal interest rate and bank size have positive relationship on viability of listed money-making banks. The researcher found out that the estimated coefficient are positive for real, interbank and size and negative for nominal. It shows that real, interbank and size possess a progressive notable influence on ROA at 10% level whereas nominal has a negative notable influence on ROA at 10% level. The research results show that concentration on market interest rates influence banks' profitability positively and the influence is relatively significant. The study recommends there is obligation of the government to continuously monitor interest rate levels because it would aid to protect borrowers from exploitation by registered money-making banks at NSE in Kenya. Therefore, listed commercial banks should adopt other avenues for income generation and increase their bank size to be more profitable.
Zenodo (CERN European Organization for Nuclear Research), 2020
This study attempts to identify the "Bank Specific and Macro-economic Determinants of The United Arab Emirates Commercial Banks Profitability" measured by Return on Assets, Return on Equity and Net Interest Margin. The study uses bank-specificand microeconomic factors as independentvariables. The bank-specific factors include bank size, capital adequacy, assets quality, liquidity, deposits, diversification ,business mix, and efficiency, while the macroeconomic factors include real Gross Domestic Product growth, Inflation Rate, and Real Interest Rate.Regression models were used to relate bank profitability ratios to the independent variables built on panel data for the period 2013-2019 of sixteen commercial banks operating in the United Arab Emirates.The results of the study show thatassetsize, liquidity, offbalance sheet activities, and diversification have significant impact on profitability as measured by theNet Interest Margin. In addition, loans under follow-up to total loans, and managerial efficiency are found to behighlysignificantvariables of profitability in the context of the United Arab Emirates commercial banks as measured by Return on Assets and Return on Equity. Furthermore, diversification has a significant impact on profitability as measured by Return on Assets. The remaining bankspecific factors (capital adequacy, loans to total assets, liquidity, deposits to assets ratio, and operating expenses to total assets ratio) and macroeconomic factors have no significant effect on bank profitability. The results of the study suggest that banks can improve their profitability through maintaining high operating income, decreasing the size of non-performing loans, full utilization of liquid assets, more concentration on the main activities, efficiently managing their operating expenses, and taking advantage of the Gross Domestic Productgrowth , inflation and Interest Rate changes to improve the bank's performance and profitability. In addition, it is recommended to make further studies on the banks' performance with an expanded scope which is tobe extended to other industries.
The study examines factors that determine the financial performance of commercial banks in Ethiopia by using time series data over the period 2004-2019 on the sample of seven banks using secondary data. Moreover, the autoregressive distributed lag model was used. Under this study, both internal and external factors were included as the determinants of bank performance which was measured by loan-to-deposit ratio. The internal factors used in this study include capital adequacy ratio, non-performing loan and loan growth while the external factors are real GDP growth and inflation. Based on the results, specific variables except non-performing loan capital adequacy and loan growth affect banks performance significantly in the long run. In the short run, in addition to those two variables, non-performing loan also affects bank performance. Real GDP growth has negative significant effect on the banks performance in both long and short run. Inflation has insignificant effects on bank performances in both long and short run.
Zenodo (CERN European Organization for Nuclear Research), 2021
The success of a commercial bank depends on income and value of its assets (loans). This study focused on interest rates and their effect on performance of the commercial banks in Kenya. Descriptive research design was adopted with a target population of 153 respondents from the credit departments. Stratified random sampling was used to select a sample of 111 respondents who were administered with a structured questionnaire. The collected data was collated and coded for descriptive and inferential analyses using the Statistical Package for Social Sciences version 23. Findings revealed that Central bank (CBK) policies affect the interest rates charged (mean 4.23), interest rates charged vary depending on repayment period (mean 3.85), higher portfolio at risk (PAR) increases the number of NPLs (mean 3.77) and increased interest income promotes high performance by banks (mean 3.94).There was a statistically significant relationship between interest rates, loan provision and performance of commercial banks. The study recommended that commercial banks should effectively respond to CBK interest rate policies, minimize number of bad loans and strive to maintain low PAR.
2021
This study aims to analyses the influence of election political events, inflation and the exchange rate on credit growth of Commercial Banks with Loan to Deposit Ratio (LDR) as a moderating variable. The research data is secondary data, quantitative, panel data obtained from observations for five years, from May 2014 to June 2019. The study population is all Commercial Banks listed on the Indonesia Stock Exchange and has never been delisted from May 2014 to June 2019 totaled 31 Conventional Commercial Banks, the research sample was 23 banks using the purposive sampling method. Data analysis using panel data regression Least Square Dummy Variable with 1426 observations. The results of the study found that there was a positive and non-significant effect of election political events on credit growth, a positive and significant effect of inflation on credit growth, and a negative and nonsignificant effect of the rupiah exchange rate on credit growth. Simultaneous testing, there is a significant influence of the three independent variables on the loan growth dependent variable, while testing by including the LDR moderating variable, there is a positive and non-significant effect of the LDR on the influence of the independent variables on the dependent variable.
The Romanian Economic Journal, 2013
This study has been carried out with the aim to investigate the impact of the bank specific variables: Asset size , Credit Risk , Total deposits to total assets ratio, and macroeconomic indicator : interest rate( Discount rate) on the profitability measures, ROE and ROA of commercial banks in Pakistan during the period of 2006-2010.. There are two measures of profitability Return on equity (ROE) & Return on assets (ROA). All 32 commercial banks were selected and by using regression the results show that there is a significant impact of bank specific variables( asset size, total deposits to total assets, credit risk )and macroeconomic indicator (interest rate) on ROE and credit risk and interest rate have also a significant impact on ROA.
IJETRM, 2024
This article emphasizes the crucial role of commercial banks in shaping a nation's economic landscape, dating back to the Great Depression era. Commercial banks play a vital role in allocating economic resources by facilitating the transfer of funds from depositors to investors, impacting a nation's overall economic expansion. The financial performance of commercial banks, especially in Sub-Saharan Africa (SSA), has been a subject of interest. Commercial banks in SSA, particularly in East Africa, exhibit a remarkable average Return on Assets (ROA) of 2%, attributed to a notable gap between the supply and demand for banking services. Internal and external factors influence commercial banks' performance, categorized as macroeconomic and bank-specific. The decisions made by boards and management internally impact bank-specific factors, while external factors encompass broader economic influences. The text underscores the interconnectedness of bank profitability with a nation's economic well-being, highlighting the significant role of successful banks in fostering economic growth. The global banking industry, in an era of globalization, requires stakeholders to closely monitor banks' financial performance.
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