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India: Macroeconomics and political economy 1964–1991

1997, Journal of Development Economics

Abstract

If a chronological economic history of India were prepared with eighteen 'Books' in the style of the Mahabharata, the experiences of the period 1951-1991 ought to appear in "Padkalpana Parvan", the Book on Planning. It is often difficult to appreciate just a chapter from such a Book in isolation. When I reflect upon this substantial volume, introduced as "an analytical macroeconomic history of India from 1964 to 1991 " (page 1), I feel that the time span and the macro economic approach make it a useful supplement to the earlier studies such as Sukhamoy Chakravarty's Development Planning: The Indian Experience (1987), Bimal Jalan's India's Economic Crisis (1991) and Jagdish Bhagwati's India in Transition: Freeing the Economy. (1993). From such an insightful collection, it is now possible to gain a spectrum of views on the successes and failures over the entire period. In commenting upon the year 1990-91, a year which was "among the cruellest in India's post independence history ", Bimal Jalan pointed out that, in addition to the critical social and economic crises facing the government, there was "a widespread feeling in the country that something is 'missing' or wrong in the way we have organized our economy in the last forty years. True there has been progress. But our achievements seem to have fallen far short of original expectations. The economy seems to lurch from one crisis to another" (p. 4). If one enjoys looking primarily at India's "crises ", one will find a number of features of Joshi and Little particularly appealing; on the other hand, one has to turn to other sources to gain a balanced view of the "progress" that Jalan refers to. Let me first start with a thumb-nail sketch• Part 1 of the book provides an impressionistic historical account and a description of the nature of markets and the role of the public sector. Part 2 is a canto on crises. It starts with an account (Chapter 3) of the macroeconomic events of the whole period 1964-91. The reader is then guided through the entire time-interval by a closer view of four major