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Dependency and false discovery rate: Asymptotics

2007, The Annals of Statistics

Abstract

Some effort has been undertaken over the last decade to provide conditions for the control of the false discovery rate by the linear step-up procedure (LSU) for testing n hypotheses when test statistics are dependent. In this paper we investigate the expected error rate (EER) and the false discovery rate (FDR) in some extreme parameter configurations when n tends to infinity for test statistics being exchangeable under null hypotheses. All results are derived in terms of p-values. In a general setup we present a series of results concerning the interrelation of Simes' rejection curve and the (limiting) empirical distribution function of the p-values. Main objects under investigation are largest (limiting) crossing points between these functions, which play a key role in deriving explicit formulas for EER and FDR. As specific examples we investigate equi-correlated normal and t-variables in more detail and compute the limiting EER and FDR theoretically and numerically. A surprising limit behavior occurs if these models tend to independence. Control of the false discovery rate (FDR) in multiple hypotheses testing has become an attractive approach especially if a large number of hypotheses is at hand. The first FDR controlling procedure, a linear step-up procedure (LSU), was originally designed for independent p-values (cf. ) and has its origins in [3] (cf. also ). Meanwhile, it is known that the LSU-procedure controls the FDR even if the test statistics obey some special dependence structure. Key words are MTP 2 (multivariate total positivity of order 2) and PRDS (positive regression dependency on subsets). More formal descriptions of these conditions and proofs can be found in [2] and [13]. In view of testing problems with some ten thousand hypotheses as they appear, for example, in genetics, asymptotic considerations become more and more popular. The first asymptotic investigations concerning expected type I errors of the LSU-procedure, as well as for the corresponding linear step-down (LSD) procedure for the independent case, can be found in [7] and [8]. A first theoretical comparison of classical stepwise procedures controlling a multiple level α [or familywise error rate (FWER) in the strong