A model of commercial energy demand
Ian Domowitz1981, Energy
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Abstract
A forecasting model is constructed for the analysis of the long-run electricity and natural gas requirements of the commercial sector of a regional economy. The methodology combines an econometric model to generate baseline forecasts, a detailed end-use model to evaluate conservation and regulatory program impacts, and a disaggregated economic/demographic model to provide internally consistent forecasts of commercial employment and other relevant economic conditions. The model is estimated and used to provide forecasts of energy use and regulatory impacts in San Diego County, California.
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